Reference Values
	A. \(\ \tau^{2}\ \ \)=			0.0005
	B. \(\mathbf{\ }\mathbf{\delta}^{\mathbf{2}}\) =			0.0005
	C. λ² =			1
(1)	(2)	(3)	(4)	(5)	(6)	(7)	(8)	(9)	(10)	(11)
Data	Data	Data	To Minimize D.	[((4)-(2))^2]/(3)	[{((4)-(2))/(2)}^2]/(3)	(4)-Prev.(4)	((7)-Prev.(7))^2	To Min. D.	[((9)-Prev.(9))^2]/B.	[((9)-(7))^2]/A.
Top	Observed	Binomial-Based	Estimated		Normalized	Observed in	Square of		Normalized	Similar
of Each	Frequencies	Variance	True Frequency	Normalized	and Relative	Step-by-Step	Differences in Trend	Ghost	Ghost tend	Squared Diff
Bucket	\[S_{i}\]	\[\sigma_{i}^{2}\]	\[p_{i}\]	Fit Error	Fit Error	Difference in p’s	From Step to Step	Trend	Squared Diff	\(D_{i}\) from \(G_{i}\)
(Data)	(Data)	(Data)	(To Minimize D.)	\({(p_{i} - S_{i})}^{2}/\sigma_{i}^{2}\)	[\({(p_{i} - S_{i})/S_{i}\rbrack}^{2}/\sigma_{i}^{2}\)	\(D_{i} = p_{i} - p_{i - 1}\)	[ \({(D_{i} - D_{i})}^{2}\rbrack/\lambda ²\)	(To Minimize D.)	\[{(G_{i} - G_{i - 1})}^{2}/\delta^{2}\]	\(\tau^{2}\) normalized
60,000,000	0.00120	35.664	0.0012	2.787E-18	1.93562E-12
62,000,000	0.00257	76.178	0.0026	1.506E-17	2.28535E-12	1.367E-03		-1.018E-05		1.896E-06
64,000,000	0.00423	125.434	0.0042	4.839E-17	2.6999E-12	1.667E-03	3.238E-02	7.193E-04	5.321E-07	8.974E-07
66,000,000	0.00667	197.051	0.0067	3.864E-18	8.69503E-14	2.433E-03	9.932E-02	-1.062E-05	5.327E-07	5.973E-06
68,000,000	0.01113	327.595	0.0111	9.869E-20	7.96214E-16	4.467E-03	2.072E-01	-1.125E-05	4.011E-13	2.005E-05
70,000,000	0.01637	479.036	0.0164	1.115E-16	4.16301E-13	5.234E-03	2.147E-02	-1.410E-05	8.131E-12	2.754E-05
72,000,000	0.02003	584.170	0.0200	1.496E-17	3.72645E-14	3.666E-03	8.967E-02	-1.742E-05	1.099E-11	1.357E-05
74,000,000	0.02823	816.392	0.0282	3.260E-17	4.09011E-14	8.200E-03	3.057E-01	-2.125E-05	1.468E-11	6.759E-05
76,000,000	0.03557	1020.681	0.0356	6.132E-17	4.84768E-14	7.333E-03	1.119E-02	-1.895E-05	5.296E-12	5.405E-05
78,000,000	0.04113	1173.618	0.0411	1.512E-17	8.93808E-15	5.567E-03	5.799E-02	-1.425E-05	2.204E-11	3.115E-05
					…
240,000,000	0.00020	5.950	0.0002	2.490E-17	6.22544E-10	-6.668E-05	2.778E+00	-1.693E-05	1.397E-09	2.474E-09
242,000,000	0.00007	1.984	0.0001	7.705E-17	1.73352E-08	-1.333E-04	9.985E-01	-1.159E-05	2.851E-11	1.481E-08
244,000,000	0.00017	4.959	0.0002	1.709E-23	6.15376E-16	9.999E-05	5.444E+00	-1.232E-05	5.314E-13	1.261E-08
246,000,000	0.00023	6.941	0.0002	2.284E-20	4.19567E-13	6.667E-05	1.111E-01	-1.604E-05	1.382E-11	6.841E-09
248,000,000	0.00030	8.924	0.0003	1.006E-24	1.11793E-17	6.667E-05	1.405E-10	-1.682E-05	6.048E-13	6.970E-09
250,000,000	0.00023	6.941	0.0002	8.766E-22	1.61011E-14	-6.667E-05	4.000E+00	-1.738E-05	3.185E-13	2.429E-09
252,000,000	0.00013	3.967	0.0001	2.141E-19	1.20438E-11	-1.000E-04	2.500E-01	-1.544E-05	3.773E-12	7.150E-09
254,000,000	0.00010	2.975	0.0001	2.233E-22	2.23296E-14	-3.333E-05	4.000E+00	-1.455E-05	7.875E-13	3.527E-10
256,000,000	0.00017	4.959	0.0002	2.246E-24	8.08513E-17	6.667E-05	2.250E+00	-1.554E-05	9.695E-13	6.758E-09
258,000,000	0.00027	7.933	0.0003	7.505E-23	1.05533E-15	1.000E-04	1.111E-01	-2.171E-05	3.805E-11	1.481E-08
Column Totals	0.991866667			7.881E-08	3.619E-01		9.455E+03		1.595E-06	4.424E-04
	Adjustment Factors			1E-22	1		1.000E+00		2.000E+03	2.000E+03
				(zeroed out)	(no change)		(1/λ²)		(1/\(\mathbf{\delta}^{\mathbf{2}}\))	(1/\(\tau^{2}\))
	Final Components			0.000E+00	3.619E-01		9.455E+03		3.190E-03	8.848E-01
		D. Sum of All Components (Value to Minimize)					9.457E+03