Reference Values
	A.\(\ \ \ \ \tau^{2} =\)		0.80
	B. \(\ \ G\ \)=		0.75
(1)	(2)	(3)	(4)	(5)	(6)	(7)	(8)
Data	Database	Data	To Minimize C.	[((4)-(2))^2]/(3)	(4)-Prev,(4)	Data	[((7)-(6))^2]/A.
Evaluations	Observed		Estimated			Global
at	Values	Variance	True Value	Normalized	Estimated	Trend	Normalized
\[i =\]	\[S_{i}\]	\[\sigma_{i}^{2}\]	\[p_{i}\]	Fit Error	Local Trend	\[G\]	Trend Drift
(Data)	(Data)	(Data)	(Minimizes \(C)\)	\[{(p_{i} - S_{i})}^{2}/\sigma_{i}^{2}\]	\[D_{i} = p_{i} - p_{i - 1}\]	B. Above	\[{(G - D_{i})}^{2}/\tau^{2}\]
1	10	36	8.766	0.045
2	7	25	9.488	0.239	0.723	0.75	0.001
3	13	4	10.291	1.896	0.802	0.75	0.003
4	9	1	10.551	2.237	0.260	0.75	0.300
5	15	4	12.052	2.338	1.501	0.75	0.705
6	10	16	12.963	0.482	0.911	0.75	0.033
7	11	16	14.022	0.472	1.059	0.75	0.120
8	16	1	15.233	1.301	1.211	0.75	0.265
9	15	36	15.830	0.000	0.597	0.75	0.029
10	18	4	16.446	1.881	0.616	0.75	0.023
11	9	36	16.751	0.101	0.305	0.75	0.248
12	6	64	17.228	0.090	0.477	0.75	0.093
13	15	16	17.845	0.004	0.617	0.75	0.022
14	20	4	18.605	0.281	0.760	0.75	0.000
15	14	36	19.085	0.005	0.481	0.75	0.091
16	13	16	19.679	0.940	0.594	0.75	0.031
17	26	16	20.607	1.291	0.928	0.75	0.039
18	28	36	21.265	0.165	0.658	0.75	0.011
19	21	4	21.773	0.482	0.508	0.75	0.073
20	22	4	22.436	1.711	0.663	0.75	0.009
		Variance Subtotals		20.447			2.095
				C.= Total Variance =		22.542