Latest ultimate	Mean parameter	Variance parameter	Standard error
\(\sum_{y = 1}^{Y}U_{y,D - y + 1\ }\)	\(\widehat{\alpha}\)	\({\widehat{\theta}}^{2}\)	\(\text{StDev}\left( \sum_{y = 1}^{Y}U_{y,D - y + 2} \right)\)
5,448	(0.007637)	0.000510	122