AY Latest ultimate Mean parameter Variance parameter Standard error
\(y\) \(U_{y,D - y + 1}\) \({\widehat{\alpha}}_{y}\) \({{\widehat{\theta}}_{y}}^{2}\) \(\text{StDev}\left( U_{y,D - y + 2} \right)\)
1 905 0.000000 - -
2 800 -0.005510 - -
3 945 -0.151170 0.055301 199
4 1,121 0.079091 0.038473 245
5 777 0.046364 0.001513 32
\(Y\)=6 900 -0.021140 0.016448 114